What is the
CBE’s Monetary Policy Objective?
Law No. 88 of 2003 of the
"Central Bank, Banking Sector and Monetary System"
entrusts the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) with the
formulation and implementation of monetary policy, with
price stability being the primary and overriding
objective. The CBE is committed to achieving, over the
medium term, low rates of inflation which it believes
are essential for maintaining confidence and for
sustaining high rates of investment and economic growth.
The Government’s commitment to fiscal discipline is
important to achieve this objective.
What is the CBE doing in
the transition until a full-fledged inflation targeting
regime is formally adopted?
The CBE intends
to adopt a full-fledged inflation targeting regime once
the fundamental prerequisites are met. Towards that end,
the CBE has achieved the following:
-
Moving from a quantitative
operational target (excess reserves) to a price
target (overnight inter-bank rate), and launching a
Corridor system in June 2005.
-
Issuing CBE instruments for
the first time in August 2005 as the primary
instruments for liquidity management through open
market operations.
-
Enhancing the role of monetary
policy operations to absorb or inject liquidity in
the market through a publicly announced auction
schedule.
-
Using a small open economy gap
model with forward looking expectations and
endogenous monetary policy response. The model's
equations have clear micro-based motivation, derived
from first order principles of rational agents.
-
Devising the core inflation
measure.
In the transition period,
the CBE meets its inflation objectives by steering short
term interest rates, keeping in view the developments in
credit and money supply, as well as a host of other
factors which may influence the underlying rate of
inflation.
What is the Interest Rate
Corridor?
On June 2, 2005 the CBE
introduced an interest rate corridor, two standing
facilities, the overnight lending and the overnight
deposit facility. The interest rates on the two standing
facilities, the overnight lending and the overnight
deposit rates, define the ceiling and floor of the
corridor, respectively. By setting the rates on the
standing facilities, the MPC determines the corridor
within which the overnight rate can fluctuate.
Effectively, steering the overnight interbank rate
within this corridor is the operational target of the
CBE.
What are the merits of the
Corridor?
Since the corridor was
introduced in June 2005, volatility in the overnight
interbank rate declined significantly.
Who decides on the
Corridor?
The Monetary Policy
Committee (MPC) decides on the corridor rates.
What is the Monetary Policy
Committee (MPC)?
Monetary policy decisions
are taken by the CBE’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC),
which consists of nine members comprising of the
Governor of the CBE, the two Deputy Governors, and six
members of the Board of Directors.
How often does the MPC
meet?
The
MPC convenes on Thursday every six weeks. The annual
schedule of the MPC meetings is posted on the CBE’s
web-page at
"Monetary Policy>Monetary Policy Decisions>MPC Meeting
Schedule"
How does the MPC decide on
the interest rate?
The Monetary Policy
Department prepares briefing material for the MPC ahead
of each meeting. This material is analytical in content
and focuses on both domestic and international
developments. On the domestic front, the following
variables are monitored: inflation, interest rates,
monetary and credit developments, asset prices, and the
real sector variables. Moreover, inflation forecasts
based on the CBE's forecasting models are presented
every quarter. On the external side, several variables
are examined closely, including global growth, global
interest rates, international commodity prices, global
inflation, in addition to many other variables.
Does the MPC justify its
policy actions?
Yes,
the CBE publishes a press release after each MPC. It is
accessible on
"Monetary Policy>Monetary Policy Decisions>MPC Releases"